Erdogan is sick and the Brotherhood is worried.
The Turkish president is increasing the number of doctors accompanying him and reducing his press meetings.
The Turkish elections to be held in 2023 are approaching, and everyone is looking forward to what these elections might emerge from, especially following the decline in the popularity of the Justice and Development Party and its humiliating defeats.
As it lost its mayoral candidates in Turkey’s main population centers in the 2019 local elections.
In light of that, there are reports that question the ability of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to run in the upcoming elections because of his health condition.
And the American magazine “Foreign Policy” said that Erdogan has already appeared weak, with indications that he is suffering from illness, which prevents him from running for re-election.
In recent months, a series of videos have emerged in which the Turkish leader has not appeared well.
Some of them are not as clear as others, but together they raise some questions about Erdogan’s health.
In one clip, for example, Erdogan needed his wife’s help on an escalator.
In another scene, he appears to be wandering and having some difficulty walking in Anitkabir, the mausoleum of Turkey’s founder Mustafa Kemal Atatürk.
Cumhurbaşkanı Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Yüksek Askeri Şura Toplantısı öncesi, YAŞ üyeleriyle birlikte Anıtkabir'i ziyaret etti. Erdoğan'ın Aslanlı yolda yürürken zorlanması sosyal medyada gündem oldu. pic.twitter.com/dhhFs8AMgN
— BOLD (@BOLDmedya) August 4, 2021
In a video that received considerable attention last July, Erdogan uttered unimaginable words during a speech on TV.
Bi noktadan sonra istesen de bıraktırmazlar. pic.twitter.com/KYFZ5Vhibs
— Cevheri Güven (@cevheriguven) July 21, 2021
Erdogan also seemed very poor on many occasions, with reports of his health emerging, including stories of growing oblivion, breathing problems, confusion, and vomiting.
There were reports that Erdogan had increased the number of doctors accompanying him and had reduced his meetings with the press.
What happens if Erdogan can’t run in 2023?
According to Article 106 of the Turkish Constitution, Vice President Fuat Oktay will assume Erdogan’s responsibilities and powers until elections are held within 45 days and then the new president will be sworn in.
As for the supposed scenarios, Stephen A. Cook, Senior Researcher for the Middle East and North Africa Studies at the American Council on Foreign Relations, believes that: The Justice and Development Party may face division in ways that would open a path to competitive elections that could be won by any of Turkey’s main opposition politicians, perhaps Ekrem Imamoglu, who was elected Mayor of Istanbul City or Mayor of Ankara, Mansur Yavas, both of whom belong to the opposition Republican People’s Party.
There is also Meral Aksener, leader of the Iyi Party,” Good Party “ who is well known for her strong opposition to President Erdogan and his party.
From inside the ring surrounding President Erdogan, powerful figures include Intelligence Chief Hakan Fidan, Minister of National Defence Hulusi Akar, and Interior Minister Suleyman Soylu.
Cook says that Akar is the most likely to take over leadership among them, as a result of the lack of adequate knowledge of the Turkish public about Fidan due to the nature of his intelligence work, in addition to the fact that Soylu’s image was severely damaged after a Turkish mafia man indicated that he was involved in corruption and organized crime in a series of videos which made a huge fuss.
Cook continued that some in Washington might view the Turkish Defense Minister as pragmatic to deal with, although no one expected Akar to be friendly towards the United States.
Akar colluded to punish Turkish officers who had spent too much time in Europe or the United States under the NATO alliance and was also responsible for Turkey’s aggressive position in the Mediterranean during the summer of 2020, which put Ankara against its NATO allies Greece and France.
Amidst these speculation and black spots that accompany the names of the candidates to succeed Erdogan from his close circle, the Turkish opposition’s chances seem stronger, especially after the many corruption and scandal cases in which justice and development have been plunged.
In addition, the Muslim brotherhood’s enormous organizational problems within their organization and the conflict between their leaders over positions and gains, and Turkey’s commitment to abandon them to restore its foreign policy and relationship with pivotal countries like Egypt.
All of this threatens the fate of the brotherhood in Turkey. Will they be defeated again as resounding as the peoples of the Arab States have recently?
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